Jump to content

Graygan

Members
  • Posts

    3
  • Joined

Reputation

10 Good

1 Follower

Personal Information

  • Location
    Chicago
  • Interests
    my children, cooking, reading, gaming
  • Occupation
    Private Investment Advisor
  1. I'm an investor too. I do fairly well for myself as well. That said, I generally stay away from techs... So... I took a look at your links and some of it bothers me, from an investor viewpoint. The marketwatch article says the stock dropped 3% due to the target price being downgraded at one particular investment bank(admittedly a fairly good one, if quite small)... As they say, the stock has dropped by that amount as of a few minutes ago when I checked. The quote from the researcher in the article is as follows... "Specifically, initial sales appear to be below expectations, and casual observation of early play is causing us to rethink our churn assumptions" The key words for me are "appear" and "casual observation". First... As any MMO veteran knows(you should know this as well considering you say you are one), the first several months to a year after launch always show a decline in numbers and the opening sales are never as strong as expected. Second... Noone except EA and BW know for sure how strong or weak their initial sales were. EA will not be announcing anything until Feb 1 after close of market. Even then, it's only for their 3rd quarter earnings. They are also expected to speculate on the coming year at that time but may not say a word about it. Third... "Casual observation"? Really? That bothers me from an investment standpoint. I, personally, will be highly unlikely to ever consider using that firm to invest with if their researchers base price estimates on "Casual observation". You, as a supposed investor who earned so much money by short selling today, should have honed in on that yourself. I have to question whether you really are an expert or if you're more of a day-trader that got a bit lucky. Fourth... You are undoubtedly correct in some of your points. EA is having a rough go with their stock. It is believed by many in the financial world(based on my own research) that it's due to their management issues and how they've responded to the various gaming markets. It is not solely because of SWTOR as you claim, and you know it. Fifth... You like to point out how far they fell... from the mid/high $50s per share to the mid/high teens per share. You claim its due to a variety of reasons other than the recession and the huge general drop-off in the last quarter of 2008. However, a simple use of your own link(your 2nd one) proves otherwise... In the first half of 2008 and all of 2007, EA stock was relatively flat. Up a couple dollars, down a couple dollars at times, but overall relatively flat. Then they started falling. Why, I'm not sure, but it wasn't drastic until the latter few months of the year. However, as an investor, you should remember how bad that year was for pretty much everyone. Are you honestly trying to tell us that the major reason for their drop from the $40s per share to the teens per share was solely due to their issues? At the same time when every other stock on the market took a huge hit? Are you trying to tell me there was no real recession and that every stock that dropped had issues with the management, product, or something else that was under the companys control? Puhleeaase... Sixth... I suggest you find another site other than Capital IQ to use as a reference. Not all of us will have a subscription, nor will all of us be willing to get a trial subscription. I'm not a fan of S&P to begin with. As for their actual ability to determine how many subscriptions were purchased, I can't speak to that as I can't access their site to do the research and see what they actually say about it. ******************************************** The real questions are this... Will SWTOR be profitable? If yes(which I believe), how profitable? Will EA continue to support SWTOR and BW or will they cut BW loose to try and make some cash? I tend to think SWTOR will be profitable for the next couple or three years at least. After that, it depends on how desperate, how smart, and how able the managers at EA are able to think Long-Term. If they make the right decision and look to reap long-term rewards, the game and EA will do very well. That said, I think that EA has a relatively poor management team and they need to get their collective rear-ends in gear. ********************** Basically what I'm saying is... Stop fear-mongering and hate-mongering. Stop twisting words to suit your own hate needs. If you truly are an investor... then perhaps you should stick to that and let the game designers work on what they do best.
  2. Simply pressing the space bar kills the cut scenes in SWTOR and goes straight to the loading scenes. This cuts down travel time quite a bit... I don't know if that works in the other games. As for the loading times... that's different, depending on your machine and its capabilities. I know my sons computer(Not as good as mine) takes longer to load even though we both go in at the same time.
  3. 42, retired chef/personal wealth manager with a few clients I work at home and have a ridiculous amount of time on my hands during the day, so I play.
×
×
  • Create New...